25 Oct 14. Coordinated attacks on Egyptian army positions in the northern Sinai Peninsula killed at least 33 security personnel on Friday, prompting the country’s National Defense Council to declare a three month state of emergency in the area and triggering a broad counter-terrorism sweep that looks likely to extend into the medium-term. Egyptian president Abdel Fattah el-Sisi convened a meeting of senior defense advisers to discuss plans for uprooting the terrorist infrastructure in the territory, which Cairo says dramatically deepened during the one-year tenure of the country’s former Muslim Brotherhood-linked President Mohammed Morsi, and which was activated after Morsi was ousted by the army. Israel-based security analyst Daniel Nisman suggested that the day’s violence may prove politically problematic for the subsequently-elected Sisi government, “especially if reports are true that 3 troops [were] abducted.” The attacks – one an assault on an army checkpoint and the second a car bombing – were blamed on Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis, a group once firmly linked to Al Qaeda that has in recent months become aligned with ISIS. Egypt’s state news agency (MENA) announced that the military had launched a “large-scale combing operation,” and Apache helicopters were dispatched to target Islamist fighters in towns near the Gaza Strip. Egyptian intelligence has emphasized that terror groups in that area are deeply embedded within civilian infrastructure, and that extensive military action will be needed to degrade their capabilities. The crisis has the potential to reverberate diplomatically. The Egyptian military’s ability to procure counter-terrorism assets in general – and Apaches in particular – has been a source of friction between the Obama administration and Cairo since last October, when the White House cut off delivery of the helicopters in the wake of a government crackdown against the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood. The decision was met with a wave of criticism from domestic analysts, U.S. lawmakers, and American allies in the region, and became a proxy for broader concerns regarding Washington’s willingness to side with its traditional Arab allies against Sunni and Shiite extremism. Despite promises to release the assistance the helicopters had still not been delivered as of June 2014, prompting another round of criticism at the time. (Source: theisraelproject.org)
24 Oct 14. It is imprudent to assess the U.S. strategy against terrorists from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant after only three months, Navy Rear Adm. John Kirby said during a Pentagon news conference. The Pentagon press secretary said the strategy against ISIL is not just sound, but it’s working. “The coalition continues to gain both momentum and strength,” Kirby said. “And we know we’re having a direct effect on ISIL inside Iraq and inside Syria.” Airstrikes against the terrorist group only began Aug. 8, Kirby reminded the reporters. At that time, U.S. government officials said the effort against the extremists would take time, and degrading and destroying the group would be hard and complicated. “Here we are, not three months into it and there are critics saying it is falling apart, it’s failing, the strategy is not sound,” Kirby said. “You cannot adequately gain a sense of the strength of a strategy over the course of three months. It’s just not possible. And it would be imprudent to do that.” ISIL is losing sources of revenue through airstrikes on refineries and crude oil collection points inside Syria, the admiral said. Other airstrikes have taken out ISIL command and control facilities and finance centers. The strikes have hit training camps and destroyed “countless vehicles and artillery pieces and other firing positions,” Kirby said. “They’ve lost hundreds of fighters,” he added. “They certainly, we believe, have lost the ability to move about as freely as they once could. And when they do, they are typically hit.” The group has had to change tact