- Revenues €43bn; EBIT Adjusted €1.8bn; EBIT (reported) €2.3bn; EPS (reported) €2.39
- Commercial aircraft market healthy, robust backlog supports ramp-up plans
- Engine delays impact 9m results, focus on fourth quarter deliveries and ramp-up
- 2017 guidance confirmed
31 Oct 17. Airbus SE (stock exchange symbol: AIR) reported nine-month 2017 financial results and confirmed its guidance for the full year.
“The strong backlog and a healthy market environment continue to support our commercial aircraft production ramp-up plans,” said Airbus Chief Executive Officer Tom Enders. “We confirm our outlook even though this year’s delivery schedule is extremely back-loaded, largely due to the well-known engine problems plaguing our A320neo Family.”
Order intake(1) totalled €50.8bn (9m 2016: €73.2bn) with the order book(1) valued at € 945bn as of 30 September 2017 (year-end 2016: €1,060bn). A total of 271 net commercial aircraft orders were received (9m 2016: 380 aircraft), with the order backlog comprising 6,691 aircraft at the end of September. Net helicopter orders totalled 210 units (9m 2016: 211 units), including 14 H175s in the third quarter. At Defence and Space, the good order momentum continued in Military Aircraft with five A330 MRTTs booked in total for Germany and Norway in the third quarter. The overall order intake at the division was impacted by perimeter changes from portfolio reshaping and the slow telecommunications satellite market.
Revenues were stable at €43.0bn (9m 2016: €42.7bn) despite the perimeter changes at Defence and Space and were higher on a comparable basis. Commercial Aircraft revenues rose four percent with deliveries of 454(2) aircraft (9m 2016: 462 aircraft) comprising 350 A320 Family, 50 A350 XWBs, 45 A330s and nine A380s. Helicopters’ revenues were slightly higher with deliveries of 266 units (9m 2016: 258 units). Revenues at Defence and Space reflected the negative impact of around €1.4bn from the perimeter changes.
EBIT Adjusted – an alternative performance measure and key indicator capturing the underlying business margin by excluding material charges or profits caused by movements in provisions related to programmes, restructuring or foreign exchange impacts as well as capital gains/losses from the disposal and acquisition of businesses – totalled € 1,796m (9m 2016: €2,408m).
Commercial Aircraft’s EBIT Adjusted of €1,545m (9m 2016: €1,836m) reflected the aircraft delivery mix and phasing as well as transition pricing. The industrial ramp up on the A350 continues to make good progress, with the programme well on track to meet the monthly production target rate of 10 aircraft by the end of 2018.
Progress was also made on A350 recurring cost convergence. An agreement was signed with Qatar Airways following the cancellation of four A350 delivery slots to continue to take delivery of four associated finished aircraft by year-end. On the A320neo programme, 90 aircraft were delivered to 19 customers. The A320neo ramp-up remains challenging with the delivery profile very much loaded into the fourth quarter. Priority is being given to engine deliveries to customers to be used for spares, as agreed with the engine manufacturers. At the beginning of 2017, around 200 A320neo deliveries were targeted for the full year. Due to
engine availability issues and allocation between the OEM and spare pools, A320neo deliveries are now expected to be slightly below that target. The A330neo programme reached an important milestone in October with the successful maiden flight.
Helicopters’ EBIT Adjusted declined to €165m (9m 2016: €200m), reflecting the unfavourable mix mainly from lower commercial flight hours in services and the impact associated with the past grounding of the H225. This was partially mitigated by the division’s transformation efforts. Airbus continues to work with its customers on bringing the civil H225 fleet back into full operation.
Defence and Space’s EBIT Adjusted was €357m (9m 2016: €436m), reflecting the perimeter change and was broadly stable on a comparable basis.
Twelve A400Ms were delivered compared to 11 aircraft in the first nine months of 2016. The operational and commercial assumptions that were retained in 2016 remain the management’s best current assessment. However, in the meantime, production levels were adjusted to absorb inventory with delivery schedules still in discussion with customers.
Development activities continued toward achieving the revised capability roadmap. However, achievement of the contractual technical capabilities and associated costs remain highly challenging. There are also challenges remaining on securing sufficient export orders in time, on cost reductions, industrial efficiency and commercial exposure, which could all impact the programme significantly. Discussions to de-risk the A400M programme are ongoing with the Nations and OCCAR.
Group self-financed R&D expenses declined to €1,918m (9m 2016: €2,015m). EBIT (reported) of €2,312m (9m 2016: €2,356m) included Adjustments totalling a net €+516m compared to net Adjustments of €-52m in the first nine months of 2016. The 9m 2017 Adjustments comprised:
- A charge of €150m on the A400M programme, including €80m in the third
quarter reflecting the production adjustment and liquidated damages incurred;
- A positive impact of €43m related to the dollar pre-delivery payment mismatch and balance sheet revaluation;
- An updated net capital gain of €604m from the divestment of the Defence Electronics business;
- A net positive impact of €19m related to other portfolio changes at Defence and Space.
Net income(3) amounted to €1,851m (9m 2016: €1,811m) after the EBIT
Adjustments with earnings per share of €2.39 (9m 2016: €2.34). EPS and net income included a positive impact mainly from the revaluation of financial instruments and balance sheet items. The finance result was €92m (9m 2016: €-342m).
Free cash flow before M&A and customer financing improved to €-3,344m (9m 2016: €-4,184m), although its development was impacted by inventory build-up related to the ramp-up and NEO engine delays. Free cash flow of €-3,208m (9m 2016: €-2,649m) included net proceeds of around €600m from the Defence Electronics disposal. Cash flow for aircraft financing improved year-on-year by approximately €100m to around €-440m. The overall aircraft financing environment remains healthy with a high level of liquidity available in the market. Airbus continues to work constructively with the Export Credit Agencies (ECAs) to return to some ECA backed financing.
The net cash position on 30 September 2017 was €6.7bn (year-end 2016: €11.1bn) after the 2016 dividend payment of €1.0bn in the second quarter with a gross cash position of €18.0bn (year-end 2016: €21.6bn).
The investigations initiated by the UK’s Serious Fraud Office (SFO) and France’s Parquet National Financier (PNF) following self-disclosure by Airbus to the UK authorities are ongoing. Airbus is cooperating fully with both authorities, including in respect of potential issues across Airbus’ business. The SFO and PNF investigations and any penalties potentially levied as a result could have negative consequences for Airbus. The potential imposition of any monetary penalty (and the amount thereof) or other sanction arising from the SFO and PNF investigations will depend on the ultimate factual and legal findings of the investigation, and could have a material impact on the financial statements, business and operations of Airbus. However, at this stage it is too early to determine the likelihood or extent of any such possible consequence(4).
Following a review of its US regulatory compliance procedures, Airbus has discovered and subsequently informed relevant US authorities of its findings concerning certain inaccuracies in filings made with the US Department of State pursuant to Part 130 of the US International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR). Airbus is cooperating with the US authorities. Airbus is unable to reasonably estimate the time it may take to resolve the matter or the amount or range of potential loss, penalty or other government action, if any, that may be incurred in connection with this matter.
As the basis for its 2017 guidance, Airbus expects the world economy and air traffic to grow in line with prevailing independent forecasts, which assume no major disruptions.
Airbus’ 2017 earnings and Free Cash Flow guidance is based on a constant perimeter:
- Airbus expects to deliver more than 700 commercial aircraft, which depends on engine
manufacturers meeting commitments.
- Before M&A, Airbus expects mid-single-digit percentage growth in EBIT Adjusted and
EPS Adjusted compared to 2016.
- Free Cash Flow is expected to be similar to 2016 before M&A and Customer Financing.
The perimeter change in Defence and Space is expected to reduce EBIT Adjusted and Free Cash Flow before M&A and Customer Financing by around € 150m and EPS Adjusted by around 14 cents.